David's Time With Peter F. Drucker 2020.3.26
(1) For the next twenty ot thirty years demographics will dominate the politics of all developed countries. And they will inevitably be politics of great turbulence. No country is prepared for the issues. Indeed, in no country are political factions and political parties aligned around the issues that demographics pose. Is extending retirement age “right” or “left”? Is encouraging older people to keep on working past age sixty by exempting from taxes part or all of their earned income “progressive” or “reactionary” “Liberal” or “Conservative”?
But equally upsetting——perhaps even more so——will be the political issue of immigration. The population decline in the developed and rich countries is accompanied by poputation growth in most of the neighborting and poor countries of the Third World——in the case of the United States, in Central America and the Caribbean; in the case of Southern Europe, in North Africa; in the case of Germany, a Third World Russia. To prevent immigration pressure is, however, very much like preventing the law of gravity. Yet there is no more inflammatory issue than large-scale immigration, especially from countries of different cultures and religions.
——《Management Challenges for the 21st Century · Chapter2》(Peter F.Drucker,1999)