DWD20200327

David's Time With Peter F. Drucker 2020.3.26 And the turbulence will, in all likelihood, be most server in Japan, in part because it still has the lowest retirement age, in part because its labor market is totally inflexible, but also because Japan has never before——at least not in her recorded history ——allowed any immigration whatsoever. Conversely, the problems are likely to be least severe in the United States both because it is, after all, a country of immigrants and because it has the most flexible labor markets. But even in the United States the demographic changes are bound to create enormous political emotions and to bring about totally new——and unpredictable——political shifts. (2) For the next twenty or thirty years no developed country is likely, therefore, to have stable politics or a strong government. Government instability is going to be the norm. (3) “Retirement” may come to mean two different things. It is quite likely that the trend toward “early retirement” will continue. But it will no longer mean that a person stops working. It will come to mean that a person stops working full-time or as an employee for an organization for the entire year rather than a few months at a time. ——《Management Challenges for the 21st Century · Chapter2》(Peter F.Drucker,1999)