DWD20200406

David's Time With Peter F. Drucker 2020.4.6 Leisure, by contrast, is “mature” and may be “declining.” In the developed countries we are probably at the end of the steady cutting of weekly hours. Indeed, these are signs that work hours are going up again——especially in the United States and the UK. The leisure market——next to armaments the 20th century's fatest growing market——already shows the signs of a declining market: rapidly increasing competition for time, that is, for the leisure market's “purchasing power”; sharply declining profit margins; and less and less true product defferentiation, for example, between going to the movies or looking at a VCR on one's own TV at home. Both health care and education should continue to be major “growth sectors”——demographics make reasonably sure of this. But both are certain to undergo major shifts within the sector, for example, the shift, discussed earlier, from schooling the young to the continued education of highly schooled adult knowledge workers. And, probably, the shifts in health care ahead of us——in every developed country——are going to be even more radical and may happen even faster. ——《Management Challenges for the 21st Century · Chapter2》(Peter F.Drucker,1999)